Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.659572 0.845646 1.055103 1.305590 1.594257 1.913873 2.291859
2025-08-17 0.378507 0.600003 0.883423 1.259926 1.734407 2.300687 3.015525
2025-08-24 0.245337 0.481580 0.822679 1.318354 1.988642 2.834166 3.951335
2025-08-31 0.148146 0.371701 0.738941 1.321280 2.160752 3.271337 4.795004
2025-09-07 0.100436 0.318603 0.720374 1.404239 2.439411 3.857433 5.855414
2025-09-14 0.064824 0.268020 0.689598 1.457856 2.673924 4.391779 6.868377
2025-09-21 0.038827 0.219993 0.647679 1.482081 2.860224 4.862977 7.810559
2025-09-28 0.019630 0.170100 0.584644 1.456203 2.960990 5.211289 8.591523
2025-10-05 0.010442 0.141245 0.555867 1.483722 3.143297 5.680661 9.551653
2025-10-12 0.004723 0.114751 0.522213 1.494274 3.294331 6.105560 10.457554
2025-10-19 0.001281 0.085169 0.466600 1.449774 3.344953 6.376396 11.145947
2025-10-26 0.000170 0.062971 0.419884 1.413472 3.402969 6.656294 11.850738
2025-11-02 0.000003 0.049416 0.394734 1.422158 3.545161 7.079268 12.788468
2025-11-09 NaN 0.034144 0.350924 1.378487 3.586388 7.342208 13.495124
2025-11-16 NaN 0.029701 0.351386 1.443094 3.835459 7.948804 14.733671
2025-11-23 NaN 0.022287 0.329985 1.447453 3.967379 8.366854 15.694411
2025-11-30 NaN 0.020552 0.339808 1.536386 4.269921 9.075071 17.112793
2025-12-07 NaN 0.017489 0.338364 1.593742 4.511660 9.687500 18.394366
2025-12-14 NaN 0.013648 0.326606 1.619666 4.690371 10.197872 19.526590
2025-12-21 NaN 0.008954 0.298626 1.592236 4.756544 10.517854 20.367146
2025-12-28 NaN 0.006811 0.289924 1.621538 4.941763 11.045098 21.540221
2026-01-04 NaN 0.004773 0.276450 1.632777 5.087984 11.507107 22.616354
2026-01-11 NaN 0.002491 0.247338 1.585474 5.103539 11.740333 23.332453